Insights & Trends

Global Property Price Trends: A Comparative Analysis

As 2025 winds down, the global property market is finding its footing after a volatile period. From modest growth in the U.S. and cooling Canadian markets to booming urban hubs in India and Southern Europe, 2026 promises a mix of stability, opportunities, and regional surprises.
September 1, 2025

As we approach the end of 2025, the global property market is showing signs of stabilization after a period of volatility. While regional disparities persist, several key trends are emerging that will shape the real estate landscape in 2026. Here's an in-depth look at the current state of the market and what we can expect in the coming year.

North America: Stabilization Amidst Regional Variations

United States: Modest Growth Expected

In the United States, the housing market is projected to experience modest growth in 2026. According to the National Association of Realtors, median home prices are expected to rise approximately 4% in 2026, following an estimated 3% increase in 2025. This growth is attributed to improved inventory levels, stable mortgage rates, and tempered demand from interest-sensitive buyers .

However, regional disparities remain. For instance, cities like Miami and Austin have seen significant price declines due to oversupply and high mortgage rates. Conversely, markets with chronic housing undersupply, such as Sydney, are expected to see sustained or increased prices .

Canada: Cooling in Major Markets

Canada's real estate market is showing signs of cooling, particularly in major markets like Toronto and Vancouver. The Canadian Real Estate Association reports year-over-year price drops of 4.2% and 6.6%, respectively, as of mid-2025. This trend indicates a shift from the rapid price escalations observed in previous years, suggesting a market correction in these regions.

Europe: Stability with Underlying Challenges

United Kingdom: Affordability Pressures Persist

In the United Kingdom, house prices have risen by 1% since 2021, a much smaller increase compared to the 20% rise in earnings. Despite this, affordability remains a significant issue, particularly in London and the South East, where homes continue to be unaffordable for many households.

Germany and France: Moderate Growth Amid Economic Stability

Germany and France experienced moderate growth in property prices, supported by low-interest rates and stable economic conditions. However, concerns over potential market overheating in major cities like Munich and Paris have been noted, prompting discussions about the sustainability of this growth.

Southern Europe: Increased Foreign Investment

Cities such as Lisbon, Madrid, and Athens saw increased demand, partly due to foreign investment and lifestyle appeal, leading to price upticks in the luxury segment. This trend reflects a broader pattern of international buyers seeking opportunities in Southern Europe.

Asia-Pacific: Mixed Signals

China: Market Stabilization Efforts

China's property market faced challenges, with prices in major cities like Beijing and Shanghai experiencing declines. The government's efforts to stimulate the market through policy adjustments had limited impact, reflecting broader economic concerns. Notably, Shanghai saw a 5% increase in new home prices in December 2024, indicating signs of stabilization.

India: Robust Growth Driven by Urbanization

India's real estate sector showed robust growth, driven by urbanization and a growing middle class. Cities like Mumbai and Bangalore saw increased demand, pushing property prices higher. This growth underscores the potential of India's real estate market as an investment destination.

Australia: Continued Strength in Major Cities

Australia's housing market remained strong, with cities like Sydney and Melbourne continuing to experience price increases, fueled by population growth and low-interest rates. This trend suggests a sustained demand for properties in these urban centers.

Latin America: Emerging Opportunities

Brazil: Signs of Recovery

Brazil's property market showed signs of recovery, with increased demand in cities like São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro. Government initiatives aimed at improving housing affordability contributed to this positive trend, indicating a potential resurgence in the Brazilian real estate sector.

Mexico: Growth in Urban and Tourist Areas

Mexico's real estate sector experienced growth, particularly in urban areas and tourist destinations. Foreign investment played a role in driving demand, especially in regions like the Riviera Maya, highlighting Mexico's appeal as an investment hotspot.

Outlook for 2026

Looking ahead, the global property market is expected to navigate through a complex landscape. Interest rates, economic policies, and demographic shifts will continue to influence market dynamics. Investors and stakeholders should remain agile, adapting strategies to regional nuances and emerging trends.